Quarterly Report (1st of April, 2010 - 30th of June, 2010)


Andras Horanyi, C-SRNWP PM
Hungarian Meteorological Service
1024 Budapest, Kitaibel Pal utca 1., Hungary


6 July, 2010

1. Headlines

In this period the C-SRNWP programme was deeply involved in EUMETNET matters as regards the strategic orientation of EUMETNET. Km-scale numerical weather prediction requirements were formulated for the EUMETNET Observation Roadmap. The C-SRNWP Advisory Committee proposed a numerical weather prediction roadmap to the Assembly (as element of the forecasting strategy of EUMETNET) and the SRNWP Expert Team on predictability and EPS advised the preparation of research activities on convective-permitting scale ensemble prediction in Europe. Unfortunately the two latter proposals were not accepted as such by the Assembly and these documents were sent back for discussions inside the newly established EUMETNET advisory committees.

2. Status of programme targets

The main activity of the C-SRNWP programme is the coordination between the five LAM Consortia in Europe (ALADIN, COSMO, HIRLAM, LACE and Met Office). The coordination is ensured by the eight Expert Teams (data assimilation and use of observations; diagnostics, validation and verification; dynamics and lateral boundary coupling; link with applications; physical parameterization: upper air; predictability and EPS; surface and soil processes: model and data assimilation; system aspects) established in 2008 and the regular contacts between the members of the SRNWP Advisory Committee. Beside that two SRNWP-related programmes (responsible member: Met Office) are ongoing (their reports are prepared independently): SRNWP-I (Interoperability) and SRNWP-V (Verification).

2.1. Expert Team issues

The Expert Teams continued their activities based on their respective workplans (which are available at the webpage of the SRNWP programme). The Expert Teams on data assimilation and verification were involved (together with the Advisory Committee) in the definition of the observational requirements of numerical weather prediction, where special emphasis was put on the requirements of km-scale modelling. Another very active Expert Team was the one dealing with limited-area ensemble prediction (and predictability). The Expert Team proposed to pursue research activities on very high resolution (convection permitting) model based ensemble systems, which would materialise on operational applications on the longer (strategic) time scale. The programmatic proposal is organised around two stages: a feasibility study phase (Phase 0) and a realisation phase afterwards. Unfortunately already the modest support for the feasibility stage was not granted by the Assembly (in spite of the fact that most of the partners supported the proposal). The document will be considered by the newly established EUMETNET advisory committees (PFAC and STAC).

2. SRNWP Advisory Committee issues

The SRNWP Advisory Committee continued its activities through correspondence. The main areas of discussions were centred around the SRNWP roadmap and strategy, which would fit into the forecasting part of the EUMETNET strategy. At this stage the Assembly considered the document premature and found the possible operational consequences unclear, therefore PFAC and STAC will further discuss this document as well. The Advisory Committee also participated on the discussions around the NWP observational requirements and also on the scientific and technical aspects of the high resolution ensemble prediction proposal.

2.3 Links with the partners

The partners got information about the latest news of the programme through two levels: the Consortia leaders forwarded the relevant information through their respective Consortia structure and the C-SRNWP Programme Manager directly informed the SRNWP contact points on the main issues of interests around the programme (mainly about the proposals submitted to the Assembly).

3. Communication and cooperation

The Programme Manager attended several meetings on behalf of the programme, which were as follows:

4. Benefits Delivery

None so far.

5. Financial report

date 06.07.2010
Quarterly Income and Expenditure Statement
Q2 Statement Year to date Forecast to end of year Balance (Forec - YtD) Approved budget Next year's planned budget
R1 Contributions from participating members 17.300,00 34.800,00 -17.500,00 34.800,00 35.000,00
R2 Surplus approved for use in year as S2 200,00 200,00 0,00 200,00 0,00
Total Revenue 17.500,00 35.000,00 -17.500,00 35.000,00 35.000,00
E1 Salary 15.000,00 30.000,00 -15.000,00 30.000,00 30.000,00
E2 PM Travel 3.720,00 5.000,00 -1.280,00 5.000,00 5.000,00
Total Expenditure: 18.720,00 35.000,00 -16.280,00 35.000,00 35.000,00
Balance in year - surplus / (deficit) -1.220,00 0,00 -1.220,00 0,00 0,00
S1 Surplus at start of year 200,00 200,00 200,00 0,00
S2 Approved allocation to revenue -200,00 -200,00 0,00 -200,00 0,00
S3 In year project surplus or deficit -1 220,00 0,00 -1.220,00 0,00 0,00
S4 Surplus at end of period -1.220,00 0,00 -1.220,00 0,00 0,00

6. Risks and issues

None to report.

7. Programme change requests to Assembly

None to request.

8. Outlook for rest of the year

The two proposals (NWP roadmap and convective-permitting EPS proposal) not accepted by the EUMETNET Assembly will be re-discussed with the relevant EUMETNET bodies. In between the first circular for the annual EWGLAM/SRNWP meeting (Exeter, 4-7 October, 2010) was issued and the preparations towards the compilation of the scientific content of the meetings will be realised.