Quarterly Report (1st of January, 2010 - 31st of March, 2010)


Andras Horanyi, C-SRNWP PM
Hungarian Meteorological Service
1024 Budapest, Kitaibel Pal utca 1., Hungary


20 April 2010

1. Headlines

The programme had been continued on the basis of the elements built in the previous periods especially as regards the eight Expert Teams and the Advisory Committee. The most important additional activity of the programme was to define (high-level at this stage) observational requirements of regional numerical weather prediction (with special emphasis on the km-scale). These requirements were communicated towards the PB-OBS community and then to the Assembly. Beside that the Advisory Committee started to draft a roadmap for short-range NWP, which plans to reflect the strategic goals of NWP in the next 10 years. The basis for a new LAMEPS proposal was started to be re-discussed by the Expert Team on predictability and ensemble prediction.

2. Status of programme targets

The main activity of the C-SRNWP programme is the coordination between the five LAM Consortia in Europe (ALADIN, COSMO, HIRLAM, LACE and Met Office). The coordination is ensured by the eight Expert Teams (data assimilation and use of observations; diagnostics, validation and verification; dynamics and lateral boundary coupling; link with applications;physical parameterization: upper air; predictability and EPS; surface and soil processes:model and data assimilation; system aspects) established in 2008 and the regular contacts between the members of the SRNWP Advisory Committee. Beside that two SRNWP-related programmes (Coordinating Member: Met Office) are ongoing (their reports are prepared independently): SRNWP-I (Interoperability) and SRNWP-V (Verification).

2.1. Expert Team issues

The Expert Teams continued their activities based on their respective workplans (which are available at the webpage of the SRNWP programme). The Expert Teams on data assimilation and verification were involved (together with the Advisory Committee) in the definition of the observational requirements of numerical weather prediction. These requirements helped in the definition of the EUMETNET Observational Strategy and Roadmap. Special emphasis was put to the requirements of km-scale modelling as future target for numerical weather predictions. The other very active Expert Team was the one related with limited-area ensemble prediction (and predictability). The original EUREPS (European LAMEPS) proposal was refused by the EUMETNET Assembly in 2007 and now an opportunity was considered to update the original proposal and submit to the Assembly meeting. Email discussions and a meeting (second part of March in Bologna) were organised in order to agree the main components of a new LAMEPS proposal. The Expert Team proposes to pursue research activities on very high resolution (convection permitting) model based ensemble systems, which would materialise on operational applications on the longer (strategic) time scale. The programme proposal is organised around two stages: a feasibility study phase (Phase 0) and a realisation phase afterwards. The proposal is going to be discussed at the May EUMETNET Assembly.

2.2 SRNWP Advisory Committee issues

The SRNWP Advisory Committee continued its activities through correspondence and a new web conference tool was successfully tested and applied to ease the discussions. The main subject of discussions (beside the abovementioned observational requirements) was the drafting of a strategic roadmap of numerical weather prediction in Europe. This roadmap is going to serve as a complement to the EUMETNET strategy in terms of practical realisation of the high-level objectives defined in the EUMETNET Strategy. The first version of this document is going to be presented at the May Assembly meeting.

2.3 Links with the partners

Thanks to the existence of the EIG from this year onwards the contribution fees were not collected individually from each member state, but the invoice (for the half of the budget) was submitted to the EIG (the contribution was received in due time). The partners were informed directly about the most important advances and also through their respective LAM Consortia.

3. Communication and cooperation

The Programme Manager attended several meetings on behalf of the programme, which were as follows:

4. Benefits Delivery

None so far.

5. Financial report

date 20.04.2010
Quarterly Income and Expenditure Statement
Q1 Statement Year to date Forecast to end of year Balance (Forec - YtD) Approved budget Next year's planned budget
R1 Contributions from participating members 17.300,00 34.800,00 -17.500,00 34.800,00 35.000,00
R2 Surplus approved for use in year as S2 200,00 200,00 0,00 200,00 0,00
Total Revenue 17.500,00 35.000,00 -17.500,00 35.000,00 35.000,00
E1 Salary 7.500,00 30.000,00 -22.500,00 30.000,00 30.000,00
E2 PM Travel 2 379,00 5 000,00 -2 621,00 5 000,00 5 000,00
Total Expenditure: 9.879,00 35.000,00 -25.121,00 35.000,00 35.000,00
Balance in year - surplus / (deficit) 7.621,00 0,00 7.621,00 0,00 0,00
S1 Surplus at start of year 200,00 200,00   200,00 0,00
S2 Approved allocation to revenue -200,00 -200,00 0,00 -200,00 0,00
S3 In year project surplus or deficit 7.621,00 0,00 7.621,00 0,00 0,00
S4 Surplus at end of period 7.621,00 0,00 7.621,00 0,00 0,00

6. Risks and issues

None to report.

7. Programme change requests to Assembly

None to request.

8. Outlook for rest of the year

The programme is going to continue with the finalisation of the first version of the NWP Strategy and Roadmap (the very final shape to that document would be given until the end of the year). At the same time the new EUREPS limited-area ensemble prediction proposal will be compiled and submitted to the Assembly. Since the SRNWP-V verification programme is going to be terminated at autumn this year, therefore its reports and its follow-on activities will be proposed to the Assembly as well. The direct preparations towards the annual EWGLAM/SRNWP event (Exeter, 4-7 October) will start in the very near future.